Quantitative Marketing Research

2008-08-06T22:06:00.000-07:00

Simply, there are five major and important steps involved in the research process:

Defining the Problem.
Research Design.
Data Collection.
Analysis.
Report Writing & presentation.

The brief discussion on each of these steps are:

Problem audit and problem definition - What is the problem? What are the various aspects of the problem? What information is needed?
Conceptualization and operationalization - How exactly do we define the concepts involved? How do we translate these concepts into observable and measurable behaviours?
Hypothesis specification - What claim(s) do we want to test?
Research design specification - What type of methodology to use? - examples: questionnaire, survey
Question specification - What questions to ask? In what order?
Scale specification - How will preferences be rated?
Sampling design specification - What is the total population? What sample size is necessary for this population? What sampling method to use?- examples: Probablity Sampling:- (cluster sampling, stratified sampling, simple random sampling, multistage sampling, systematic sampling) & Nonprobability sampling:- (Convenience Sampling,Judgement Sampling, Purposive Sampling, Quota Sampling, Snowball Sampling, etc. )
Data collection - Use mail, telephone, internet, mall intercepts
Codification and re-specification - Make adjustments to the raw data so it is compatible with statistical techniques and with the objectives of the research - examples: assigning numbers, consistency checks, substitutions, deletions, weighting, dummy variables, scale transformations, scale standardization
Statistical analysis - Perform various descriptive and inferential techniques (see below) on the raw data. Make inferences from the sample to the whole population. Test the results for statistical significance.
Interpret and integrate findings - What do the results mean? What conclusions can be drawn? How do these findings relate to similar research?
Write the research report - Report usually has headings such as: 1) executive summary; 2) objectives; 3) methodology; 4) main findings; 5) detailed charts and diagrams. Present the report to the client in a 10 minute presentation. Be prepared for questions.

Descriptive techniques

The descriptive techniques that are commonly used include:

Graphical description
- use graphs to summarize data
- examples: histograms, scattergrams, bar charts, pie charts
Tabular description
- use tables to summarize data
- examples: frequency distribution schedule, cross tabs
Parametric description
- estimate the values of certain parameters which summarize the data
  - measures of location or central tendency
  - measures of statistical dispersion
  - measures of the shape of the distribution
    - skewness
    - kurtosis

Inferential techniques

Inferential techniques involve generalizing from a sample to the whole population. It also involves testing a hypothesis. A hypothesis must be stated in mathematical/statistical terms that make it possible to calculate the probability of possible samples assuming the hypothesis is correct. Then a test statistic must be chosen that will summarize the information in the sample that is relevant to the hypothesis. A null hypothesis is a hypothesis that is presumed true until a hypothesis test indicates otherwise. Typically it is a statement about a parameter that is a property of a population. The parameter is often a mean or a standard deviation.

Not unusually, such a hypothesis states that the parameters, or mathematical characteristics, of two or more populations are identical. For example, if we want to compare the test scores of two random samples of men and women, the null hypothesis would be that the mean score in the male population from which the first sample was drawn, was the same as the mean score in the female population from which the second sample was drawn:

H 01 = ? 2

where:

H₀ = the null hypothesis

?₁ = the mean of population 1, and

?₂ = the mean of population 2.

The equality operator makes this a two-tailed test. The alternative hypothesis can be either greater than or less than the null hypothesis. In a one-tailed test, the operator is an inequality, and the alternative hypothesis has directionality:

H 01 = o r < ? 2

These are sometimes called a hypothesis of significant difference because you are testing the difference between two groups with respect to one variable.

Alternatively, the null hypothesis can postulate that the two samples are drawn from the same population:

H 01 ? ? 2 = 0

A hypothesis of association is where there is one population, but two traits being measured. It is a test of association of two traits within one group.

The distribution of the test statistic is used to calculate the probability sets of possible values (usually an interval or union of intervals). Among all the sets of possible values, we must choose one that we think represents the most extreme evidence against the hypothesis. That is called the critical region of the test statistic. The probability of the test statistic falling in the critical region when the hypothesis is correct is called the alpha value of the test. After the data is available, the test statistic is calculated and we determine whether it is inside the critical region. If the test statistic is inside the critical region, then our conclusion is either the hypothesis is incorrect, or an event of probability less than or equal to alpha has occurred. If the test statistic is outside the critical region, the conclusion is that there is not enough evidence to reject the hypothesis.

The significance level of a test is the maximum probability of accidentally rejecting a true null hypothesis (a decision known as a Type I error).For example, one may choose a significance level of, say, 5%, and calculate a critical value of a statistic (such as the mean) so that the probability of it exceeding that value, given the truth of the null hypothesis, would be 5%. If the actual, calculated statistic value exceeds the critical value, then it is significant “at the 5% level”.

Types of hypothesis tests

Parametric tests of a single sample:
- t test
- z test
Parametric tests of two independent samples:
- two-group t test
- z test
Parametric tests of paired samples:
- paired t test
Nominal/ordinal level test of a single sample:
- chi-square
- Kolmogorov-Smirnov one sample test
- runs test
- binomial test
Nominal/ordinal level test of two independent samples:
- chi-square
- Mann-Whitney U
- Median
- Kolmogorov-Smirnov two sample test
Nominal/ordinal level test for paired samples:
- Wilcoxon test
- McNemar test

Point to remember:

- If a Variable (e.g. preference of the respondences on color of a product ) is interval/ ratio scaled and meet some statistical assumption (e.g. Normality), then it is eligible for Parametric test.
- If a Variable (e.g. gender or rank order of few products on their certain attributes) is Nominal/ Ordinal scaled and/ or does not meet some statistical assumption (e.g. Normality), then it is not eligible for Parametric test. In this situation we have to use Non-parametric test.

We should use non-parametric test only if sample/ variable is not eligible for parametric test. Remember that, the non-parametric test is mostly used and misused technique in the world.

Reliability and validity

Research should be tested for reliability, generalizability, and validity. Generalizability is the ability to make inferences from a sample to the population.

Reliability is the extent to which a measure will produce consistent results. Test-retest reliability checks how similar the results are if the research is repeated under similar circumstances. Stability over repeated measures is assessed with the Pearson coefficient. Alternative forms reliability checks how similar the results are if the research is repeated using different forms. Internal consistency reliability checks how well the individual measures included in the research are converted into a composite measure. Internal consistency may be assessed by correlating performance on two halves of a test (split-half reliability). The value of the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient is adjusted with the Spearman-Brown prediction formula to correspond to the correlation between two full-length tests. A commonly used measure is Cronbach’s ?, which is equivalent to the mean of all possible split-half coefficients. Reliability may be improved by increasing the sample size.

Validity asks whether the research measured what it intended to. Content validation (also called face validity) checks how well the content of the research are related to the variables to be studied. Are the research questions representative of the variables being researched. It is a demonstration that the items of a test are drawn from the domain being measured. Criterion validation checks how meaningful the research criteria are relative to other possible criteria. When the criterion is collected later the goal is to establish predictive validity. Construct validation checks what underlying construct is being measured. There are three variants of construct validity. They are convergent validity (how well the research relates to other measures of the same construct), discriminant validity (how poorly the research relates to measures of opposing constructs), and nomological validity (how well the research relates to other variables as required by theory) .

Internal validation, used primarily in experimental research designs, checks the relation between the dependent and independent variables. Did the experimental manipulation of the independent variable actually cause the observed results? External validation checks whether the experimental results can be generalized.

Validity implies reliability : a valid measure must be reliable. But reliability does not necessarily imply validity :a reliable measure need not be valid.

Types of errors

Random sampling errors:

sample too small
sample not representative
inappropriate sampling method used
random errors

Research design errors:

bias introduced
measurement error
data analysis error
sampling frame error
population definition error
scaling error
question construction error

Interviewer errors:

recording errors
cheating errors
questioning errors
respondent selection error

Respondent errors:

non-response error
inability error
falsification error

Hypothesis errors:

type I error (also called alpha error)
- the study results lead to the rejection of the null hypothesis even though it is actually true
type II error (also called beta error)
- the study results lead to the acceptance (non-rejection) of the null hypothesis even though it is actually false

References

Bradburn, Norman M. and Seymour Sudman. Polls and Surveys: Understanding What They Tell Us (1988)
Converse, Jean M. Survey Research in the United States: Roots and Emergence 1890-1960 (1987), the standard history
Glynn, Carroll J., Susan Herbst, Garrett J. O’Keefe, and Robert Y. Shapiro. Public Opinion (1999) textbook
Oskamp, Stuart and P. Wesley Schultz; Attitudes and Opinions (2004)
James G. Webster, Patricia F. Phalen, Lawrence W. Lichty; Ratings Analysis: The Theory and Practice of Audience Research Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 2000
Young, Michael L. Dictionary of Polling: The Language of Contemporary Opinion Research (1992)